Jacksonville at Atlanta (-13.5)
Analysis: For every Tim Tebow, there is a Matt Ryan. Quiety the fourth-year QB has the Falcons in the playoff chase yet again, and with the lowly Jags making a short flight into town now would be the time to solidify their standing in the crowded NFC playoff field. Atlanta has yet to really clobber an opponent at home, yet this spread has jumped from 11 to 11.5 to 13.5. At 8-5, a win would go a long way towards assuring Atlanta returns to the playoffs for a second straight year and a short week on the road for a rookie QB could mean a long night for the Jags, fresh off a 41-14 demolition of the Buccaneers. This feels like a risky pick, but the Falcons have been playing well of late and if Michael Turner gets going early they should have no problem cruising to a win. The pick: Falcons.
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