For six straight years, I’ve picked the Super Bowl correctly with the spread, and have gotten the winner right in five of those. I’ll put that to the test on Sunday as the Chiefs and Bucs square off in Tampa, with Brady chasing number seven and again trying to preserve his legacy as the last QB to repeat as a Super Bowl champion.
So, to the game itself, who wins it? In years past, I’ve tried to break things down by offense/defense/special teams/intangibles/coaching, but I’m just going to try and condense it this year. Perhaps that’s fitting for the world we live in, where everything is condensed to a shorter, lesser version of what it used to be.
Last week: 1-1
Kansas City (-3) vs. Tampa Bay
You know the story by now, anyway. This is Brady’s 10th Super Bowl. Mahomes and the Chiefs are trying to repeat, something no NFL team has done since Brady’s Patriots beat Andy Reid’s Eagles in 2004. The Bucs are the first team to host a Super Bowl, even though it will be in front of just 22,000 socially-distanced fans.
It would be so easy to pick the Chiefs, because they are the budding new dynasty with the best QB in football and an explosive, seemingly-unstoppable offense. But it also seems like every wild card team in the Super Bowl has this magic fairy dust, with the last five teams that have played on Wild Card weekend and made the Super Bowl having won. It just seems wrong to pick against Brady in a home Super Bowl after winning three road games to get here. Pick: Buccaneers 36, Chiefs 31.